为扩大农业现代化进程中的农业内部就业,利用2014年度全国及各省统计年鉴数据,构建多元回归模型进行实证研究。结果表明:技术进步,即农业机械总动力的提高,使农业成为一个具有吸引力的就业行业;产业结构变动,即粮食作物占农作物播种面积比重的减少,有利于发挥农副产品生产的就业吸纳能力。为了解决农业劳动力不足的发展困境,政府应加大现代农业技术推广,加强农业产业结构优化。
Abstract
To broaden agricultural employment in the process of agricultural modernization, we established a multiple regression model based on the data in national and provincial statistical yearbooks of 2014, to conduct an empirical study. The results showed that technical progress, namely the improvement of the total power of agricultural machinery, made agriculture be attractive to employment. Industrial structure changes, namely the decrease of planting area proportion of grain crops in agricultural crops, played a role in the employment absorptive capacity of agricultural sideline products. In order to get out of the dilemma of insufficient agricultural labor, the government should strengthen the promotion of modern agricultural technology and optimization of agricultural industrial structure.
关键词
农业现代化;农业内部就业;多元回归模型;技术进步;产业结构变动
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Key words
agricultural modernization; agricultural employment; multiple regression model; technical progress; industrial structure change
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