Shi Yuqiong and Li Tuansheng
Scientific calculation of grain potential productivity for country or area can provide the theory basis for reasonable formulation of approaches to ensure increase in grain production and food safety. Using the results of agriculture classification, the farmland grain potential productivity, farmland use intensity and the increase potential for future in Guanzhong were calculated. The result showed as follows: for the total of Guanzhong Area, natural potential productivity, utilization potential productivity, achievable potential productivity and real per unit area yield were 30.09 t/hm2, 18.74 t/hm2, 9.57 t/hm2 and 7.34 t/hm2, respectively. Theoretical use intensity, achievable use intensity and real use intensity were respectively 0.623, 0.511 and 0.767. Theoretical increase potential productivity, achievable increase potential productivity and real increase potential productivity were 11.35 t/hm2, 9.17 t/hm2 and 2.23 t/hm2, respectively. The difference among counties was great. Natural potential productivity, utilization potential productivity, achievable potential productivity and real per unit area yield in Weihe River Plain were more than those in Weibei Upland and Qinling Mountains. The theoretical use intensity didn’t appear to be much different all over the Guanzhong, and that of Xianyang Region was generally higher. But the achievable use intensity appeared to be much different, and that of Tongchuan Region was generally higher, and that of Xi’an Region was generally lower. The actual utilization intensity of most counties of Guanzhong was high, and that of Xi’an Region was the maximum. There was great room for improvement of actual utilization intensity in 16 counties such as Weibin, Jintai, Wugong, Dali, etc. Theoretical increase potential productivity, achievable increase potential productivity and real increase potential productivity were great in counties of Weihe River Plain. In the future, the increase potential was mainly in the counties of Weihe River Plain.